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The Home of Evolutioneers

Crowdsourcing's Greatest Challenge: Finding the Unknown Tipping Points of Irreversible or Catastrophic Climate Destabilization before Humanity's End

Submitted by phoebe on

There is a gargantuan body of scientific evidence telling us that cataclysmic climate destabilization (commonly known as global warming or climate change) is a real, human-caused problem that is getting worse and could end human civilization and humanity as we know it, but shockingly --- is not being adequately addressed by our governments. But none of these things is the greatest of our current problems. No, the biggest current problem with cataclysmic climate destabilization (CCD) is that there are still far too many unknown tipping points that aren’t known or included in the current supercomputer climate models which, if discovered, could prove all recent timeline and severity predictions for catastrophic climate destabilization to be grossly incorrect.

Because these CCD tipping points are still unknown, humanity may continue failing to take action in properly addressing the issue. We may then pass these tipping points unwittingly, moving beyond the scenario in which a manageable, expedient and realistic remedy to CCD exists. Specifically, this could mean that a predicted total global warming of 2 to 4° Celsius  in 100 years could turn out to be 4 to 7° in 30-50 years or less. It could also mean that ocean temperatures would continue rising for centuries and that the Arctic ice could melt quickly and also be gone for centuries.

If you don’t know much about the catastrophic climate destabilization issue, this talk of tipping points might not mean much to you. If this is the case, I strongly recommend that you quickly read Six Degrees: Our Future on a Hotter Planet, by Mark Lynas and Storms of My Grandchildren: The Truth About the Coming Climate Catastrophe and Our Last Chance to Save Humanity, by James Hansen. These two books will help you prepare your family, your community and your country for what is coming—quite possibly much sooner than any of us have previously imagined.

Not only is there widespread denial about current climate science, but there is a good deal of uncertainty about tipping points within the climate science and climate model literature. Thus, intelligence agencies and international corporations are still not certain about how to adjust their long-term strategies to address the increasingly catastrophic destabilization of the climate. And this leads to the subject of this posting. There is no crowdsourcing task that is more important than the discovery of the now-unknown tipping points that would push cataclysmic climate destabilization beyond the point of no return. As a first step, the nations and big corporations of the world have to direct a far larger portion of their resources to researching more accurate measurements of all of the factors that are either mitigating or increasing catastrophic climate destabilization. More comprehensive and regular measurements will create better models, which can then be used to gauge these tipping points with greater accuracy.

The great reward for those individuals who are able to discover the key to climate change tipping points is survival for themselves and future generations, as well as the avoidance of global economic, political and social destabilization. Once we’ve successfully resolved the issue of tipping points through crowdsourcing, we can move on to finding ways to effectively reduce human-caused climate destabilization. This is necessary because existing solutions to CCD, such as eliminating coal-burning emissions by 2020 and the seldom-discussed idea to institute a carbon fee and public dividend, are currently locked in a national paralysis of opposing interests.

If crowdsourcing does not solve the problems that governments, corporations and intelligence agencies have not been able to solve thus far, then perhaps it will be useful in determining how best to prepare for and adapt to the increasingly destructive effects of catastrophic climate destabilization that will be threatening humanity over the next 5 to 100 years; perhaps crowdsourcing will be what enables us, our children and grandchildren to survive with the minimal amount of loss, suffering and death.

For a complete discussion and list of what most of these major unknown climate tipping are, click here.

Lawrence Wollersheim

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